World
Fee fantasies and false openings: Trump’s Hormuz delusions continue
With the Iran-US ceasefire all but retired to the infirmary of international politics, Washington has conducted air strikes on Iran for a third straight night. On early July 14, Iran’s state-run IRNA news agency reported explosions in the southern port city of Bandar Abbas and six explosions on Kish Island, with further blasts on Qeshm Island.
Prior to those strikes, President Donald Trump told reporters at the White House that, “We’re attacking them tonight, and we’re taking out all their capability for anything having to do with the Strait of Hormuz”. That bit of wishful thinking was also accompanied by the hope that a diplomatic agreement with Tehran might still be reached, despite the latest mayhem. US Central Command (CENTCOM) then posted a note confirming that a “third consecutive night of strikes against Iran” had been ordered at Trump’s direction. “These strikes will continue to impose a heavy cost on Iranian forces and degrade their ability to attack innocent civilians and commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.”
In a reversion to old positions, CENTCOM also announced that it would “resume blockading maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports on 14th July at 4 p.m. ET.” The US military would continue supporting “traffic flow through regional waters for all vessels not violating the blockade.” The previous blockade by US naval forces, lasting from 13th April to 18th June, saw the redirection, if we are to rely on CENTCOM’s figures, of over 140 compliant vessels, the disabling of nine recalcitrant ships, and the permitted transit of “over 50 commercial vessels supporting humanitarian aid”.
Trump, ever burdened by an estranged idea of the factual record, also took to Truth Social (it tends to be neither), his preferred medium of miscommunication, blustering that, “The Hormuz Strait is OPEN, and will remain OPEN, with or without Iran.” (This was at odds with the reporting of Iranian state media on 11th July, declaring that the Strait was closed “until further notice”.) The president went on to announce a reinstituting of the blockade of Iran’s shipping and customers “from entering or leaving. All other countries will have fair and open use of the Strait.” Never one to be shy about the matter of might, the president also bellowed that the US would be “from this point forward, known as ‘THE GUARDIAN OF THE HORMUZ STRAIT,’ but as such, as a matter of FAIRNESS, will be reimbursed, at the rate of 20 percent on all cargo shipped, for any and all costs necessary to do the job providing safety and security to this very volatile section of the World.”
To Trump’s shouty remarks, Iran’s response was needling. “POTUS is absolutely right,” chortled Iran’s foreign minister, Seyed Abbas Araghchi. “Whoever provides secure and safe passage of commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz should be compensated for this service.” Reiterating the critically affirmed importance of the waterway to Tehran, the foreign minister went on to declare that “Iran has always been the GUARDIAN of the Strait and will remain so FOREVER.” There would be some budging on a 20 percent fee, as it was “too much. We will be fair.”
Colonel Ebrahim Zolfaqari, that sternest of spokesmen for the Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters, was more severe in reproaching “America’s repeated adventurism and malicious acts to interfere in the management of the Strait of Hormuz”. These had “seriously endangered regional security, international trade, and the passage of oil tankers and commercial vessels.” With notable menace, Zolfaqari also rebuked “the cooperation of some regional countries” as an incitement to a further widening of the war. “Regional heads of state are warned that any cooperation with America and any logistical support for its aggressive army will be considered an act of war against Iran’s sovereignty and national security.”
The Iranians, true to form, have continued their barrages against various Gulf states and various vessels. On 13th July, they were accused by the United Arab Emirates of a “brazen” attack on two tankers in the Strait, killing an Indian crew member and wounding eight, four seriously. This was, according to the UAE Ministry of Defence, “a serious violation and a clear breach of international law, threatening the security and stability of the region.”
All bets, be it in terms of security for the Gulf states or any equilibrium in energy markets, are off.
The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Monitor.
